Strength in employment, services cause for optimism
Premier Li Keqiang said that with the global economic recovery losing steam, achieving domestic growth of around 7 percent is "not easy", according to a transcript of his remarks posted on the website of the State Council, China's cabinet.
Nonetheless, in his comments, made at a recent meeting with senior provincial officials, the premier said that continued strength in the labor market and services were reasons for optimism, despite the headwinds facing the manufacturing sector.
"As long as employment remains adequate, the people's income grows, and the environment continuously improves, GDP a little higher or lower than 7 percent is acceptable," the premier said in the comments posted on Saturday.
China is due to release its third-quarter GDP growth figures on Monday. A Reuters poll of 50 economists put expected growth at 6.8 percent year-on-year, which would be the slowest since the financial crisis in 2009. China's growth in the first half of 2015, at 7 percent, was already the slowest since that time. Policymakers had previously forecast growth of "around 7 percent" for 2015.
Most official and private estimates show that the Chinese labor market as a whole is outperforming the steep slowdown in industry, largely due to continuing strength in the services sector.
But some analysts have expressed concern that the sharp drop in industrial profits over the past year indicates deeper weakness in income growth and wages next year, which could weaken overall growth further.
Industrial profits fell 8.8 percent year-on-year in August, the steepest drop since China's statistics agency began publishing such data in 2011.
The premier cited the emergence of new industries including the Internet sector, the continued need for high infrastructure investment in western regions, and ongoing urbanization as additional reasons for optimism on China's future growth trajectory.
Nonetheless, Li also highlighted the need for further market-oriented reforms and a reduced government role in the economy in order to fully grasp new economic opportunities and maintain growth.
Increased infrastructure investment is key to stabilizing China's economic growth, said Yu Bin, head of the micro economy research department at the State Council's Development Research Center on Sunday.
Yu also called on the central bank to lower the cost of financing for companies and increase overall credit.
"Keeping relatively high growth of infrastructure investment is key to stabilizing economic growth" since property and manufacturing investment remain weak, Yu said.
China needs to speed up its 172 hydropower projects, develop 800 million mu (53 million hectares) of high-standard agricultural land and increase investment in rural roads, Yu said. Yu's comments were published in the Economic Daily on Sunday.
